White Brook Capital: Rapid Micro Biosystems ($RPID) Investment Case

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White Brook Capital: Rapid Micro Biosystems ($RPID) Investment Case

Introduction White Brook Capital presents an investment thesis for Rapid Micro Biosystems (RPID), highlighting it as an undervalued opportunity in the life sciences technology sector. The company, which automates microbial quality control processes for pharmaceutical manufacturing, is currently trading at a significant discount to its IPO price, creating what White Brook believes is a compelling investment opportunity.

Investment Highlight: Rapid Micro Biosystems ($RPID)

Business Overview

  • Provider of automated microbial quality control systems for pharmaceutical manufacturing
  • Core product is the Growth Direct System, which automates contamination testing
  • Serves 40 individual customers, including 70% of top twenty pharmaceutical companies
  • Strong presence in cell and gene therapy sector (100% of approved CAR-T cell therapies)

Market Position

  • First-to-market advantage in automation of microbial quality control
  • Established relationships with major pharmaceutical companies
  • 45% revenue from US, 45% from Europe, and 10% from Asia
  • Estimated total addressable market of 10,000 machines (~$5bn) plus similar annual consumables spend

Performance Analysis

  1. Revenue Model:
  • Growth Direct System sales ($500,000-$600,000 per unit)
  • Validation services with improving margins
  • Recurring revenue from service contracts
  • Consumables (proprietary media trays)
  • New Rapid Sterility product line launched in 2024
  1. Financial Metrics:
  • Current enterprise value of -$12mm
  • Market cap of ~$42mm
  • Trading at 1.9x LTM revenue
  • Revenue growing over 20% y/y
  • Gross margins improving from negative to breakeven

Growth Runway

  • Only 150 systems placed out of estimated 10,000 market opportunity
  • Expansion potential through existing customer base
  • New product introduction (Rapid Sterility testing)
  • Margin improvement through scale and operational efficiency
  • Path to cash flow breakeven by 2027

Market Dynamics and Opportunities

  • Regulatory requirements ensure stable demand
  • Strong barriers to entry due to regulatory familiarity
  • Cross-border regulatory agreements support market stability
  • Three-year customer payback period supports value proposition

Valuation and Capital Structure

  • Significant cash position
  • Net operating loss carryforwards worth more than market cap
  • Potential for 4-5x enterprise value to revenue multiple if cash flow positive
  • Target market cap of $200mm within a few years

Risks

  • Currently gross margin negative
  • Requires significant operational improvements
  • Extended timeline to cash flow breakeven
  • Customer adoption pace uncertainty
  • Budget constraints in quality control departments

Other Key Points

  • Strong competitive advantages in automation and efficiency
  • 50% faster results than traditional methods
  • 85% reduction in manual steps
  • Multiple revenue streams with improving margins
  • Strategic acquisition potential at current valuation

White Brook Capital views RPID as an overlooked opportunity with significant upside potential, citing its market leadership, improving margins, and strong cash position as key factors. They suggest a “healthy, but not super sized position” due to scaling challenges but believe the current valuation represents a compelling entry point for long-term investors.

Click here for the full Bonhoefer Partner Letter.


Disclaimer: The information provided in this blog post is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or other professional advice. The content is based on a third-party investor letter and does not represent an endorsement, recommendation, or solicitation to buy or sell any particular security or investment product mentioned.

Investing involves risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance is not indicative

Disclaimer: Third party content is provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed as an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security. Third party content is not intended to serve as a recommendation to buy or sell any security and is not intended to serve as investment advice. Third party content creators are not affiliated with BBAE Holdings LLC, (“BBAE”) Redbridge Securities LLC (“Redbridge Securities”) or BBAE Advisors LLC (“BBAE Advisors”). All investments involve risk, including the possibility of total loss of principal. For additional important information, please click here.

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